TENDÊNCIAS E DESAFIOS NA AVALIAÇÃO DE IMPACTO DE PROGRAMAS DE ADAPTAÇÃO ÀS MUDANÇAS CLIMÁTICAS:

Willian  dos Santos Flores; Madalena Maria Schlindwein; Jonathan Gonçalves da Silva; Roselaine Bonfim De Almeida; Leandro Vinícios Carvalho

Willian dos Santos Flores Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Naviraí, Mato Grosso do Sul, Brasil
Madalena Maria Schlindwein Federal University of Grande Dourados https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4387-9786
Jonathan Gonçalves da Silva Federal University of Grande Dourados https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1601-8534
Roselaine Bonfim De Almeida Federal University of Grande Dourados https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2195-0035
Leandro Vinícios Carvalho Federal University of Grande Dourados https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8693-7579

Abstract

This study addresses the evaluation of methods for adapting agribusiness to climate change, using an exploratory and quantitative approach. Through a systematic literature review, 77 relevant articles were identified after rigorous screening. Key methods included economic, climate, integrated and global management assessment models. The results revealed a growth in scientific production over the years, with a strong contribution from countries such as the United Kingdom, the USA and the Netherlands. Recurring themes included carbon mitigation, integrated models and regional impacts. Author analysis highlighted influential leaders in research such as Detlef P. van Vuuren and Shinichiro Fujimori. It was concluded that, although there is a diversity of methods and approaches, there is a need for interdisciplinary collaboration and a search for sustainable adaptive strategies. The study emphasizes the importance of continuous model updates and a collaborative approach to addressing climate challenges in agribusiness.

Author Biographies

Willian dos Santos Flores, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Naviraí, Mato Grosso do Sul, Brasil

SAP/CPNV/UFMS

Madalena Maria Schlindwein, Federal University of Grande Dourados

Research Productivity Scholarship - PQ-2 and Coordinator of the Research Group 'Bioeconomy and Sustainable Socioeconomic Development'. Graduated in Economic Sciences, from the State University of Western Paraná (2000), Master in Rural Economics, from the Federal University of Ceará (2002) and PhD in Sciences, area of concentration in Applied Economics, from the Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz - Esalq-USP (2006). Professor and Researcher at the Federal University of Grande Dourados (2008), Faculty of Administration, Accounting Sciences and Economics. Professor of the Permanent Staff of the Postgraduate Program in Agribusiness at UFGD (2011), working in the Master's and Doctorate Courses. She has experience in the area of Economics, Sustainable Development and Interdisciplinary Analysis, working mainly on the following topics: sustainable development; bioeconomy; sustainable family farming; sustainability indicators; production in agroforestry systems; socioeconomic indicators; family budget research; and, opportunity cost of women's time.

Jonathan Gonçalves da Silva, Federal University of Grande Dourados

Adjunct Professor III at the Federal University of Grande Dourados, where he has carried out his research on topics related to Brazil's transition to a low-carbon economy. Furthermore, he has been studying, for more than ten years, economically viable alternatives to reduce deforestation in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes, as well as greenhouse gas emissions resulting from this process. The Prof. Jonathan Gonçalves da Silva was a visiting researcher at Monash University (Australia) and has a PhD in Applied Economics from the University of São Paulo.

Roselaine Bonfim De Almeida, Federal University of Grande Dourados

She has a degree in Economic Sciences from Universidade Estadual Paulista Júlio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP), a master's degree in Applied Economics from the Faculty of Economics, Administration and Accounting of Ribeirão Preto (FEARP-USP) and a doctorate in Applied Economics from ESALQ-USP. She works as Associate Professor I at the Federal University of Grande Dourados (UFGD). Professor of the Permanent Staff of the Postgraduate Program in Agribusiness at UFGD, working in the Master's and Doctorate Courses. Since 2022, she has participated in the board of directors of the Brazilian Society of Economics, Administration and Rural Sociology (SOBER) as Regional Representative for the Central-West.

Leandro Vinícios Carvalho, Federal University of Grande Dourados

He holds a degree in Economic Sciences from the "Luiz de Queiroz" School of Agriculture of the University of São Paulo, ESALQ/USP, and a Master's degree in Applied Economics from the Federal University of São Carlos, Sorocaba Campus. PhD in Applied Economics from the "Luiz de Queiroz" School of Agriculture of the University of São Paulo, ESALQ/USP. He is currently a Professor at the Federal University of Grande Dourados at the Faculty of Administration, Accounting Sciences and Economics. He has experience in Economics in the area of Quantitative Methods and in the topics of Macroeconomic Policies, Agro-industrial Systems and Agricultural Policies.

TRENDS AND CHALLENGES IN THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF ADAPTATION PROGRAMS FOR CLIMATE MOVEMENTS

A PRISMA systematic review

Abstract

Author Biographies